El Camaleon Golf Club, Riviera Maya, MEX
This edition of the Mayakoba championship features seven of the top 20 players in the world headlined by Justin Thomas, Brooks Koepka, Abraham Ancer and, Viktor Hovland. The golf course is short and not particularly tight off the tee, so it should favor those with strong approach stats. Barring unusually inclement weather, the winning score should be north of -20.
Who should win? – Justin Thomas (14/1)
JT is the best player in the field, has been placing well recently and, should only need his putter to be slightly better than average to win this week.
Who could win? – Viktor Hovland (20/1), Abraham Ancer (18/1), Patrick Reed (35/1)
Hovland won last year, is sneaky long and, hits a lot of greens. Ancer is pushing toward world top-ten status and, could easily pull a “Matsuyama” and grab an emotional win in his home country. Patrick Reed finished one back in a weak field last week but it could be enough to get his confidence back.
Who will win? – Aaron Wise (35/1)
Wise is coming off a T8 and T5 and his worst placing is T26 in his past five tournaments. Oh, and he finished just behind Hovland in last year’s tournament. He hits a lot of greens and makes a lot of birdies but doesn’t win a lot – yet. At these odds, he’s worth putting down a small bet on the nose.
Longshot to consider – Matthew Wolff (55/1)
Wolff is not your classic longshot, especially coming off a runner-up finish but at these relatively long odds, he falls into that category. I believe Wolff is going to have a strong comeback season after dealing with personal issues for several months this year. I expect him to contend this week.