Riviera Maya, MEX

This week, Viktor Hovland has a chance to add his name to a prestigious list that includes Young Tom Morris, Walter Hagen, Gene Sarazen, and Tiger Woods. These golf legends hold the PGA Tour record for winning the same tournament four times in succession. Hovland, if he were to prevail at the WWTCM, (the record-holder for the longest tournament name on Tour) would only be at three, but I wasn’t able to find any data on three wins, so this will have to do.

Who should win? – Viktor Hovland 11/1

After that lead, could I pick anyone else?

Who could win? – Tony Finau 18/1, Aaron Wise 18/1, Tom Hoge 30/1

Noticeably absent from this list is world number two Scottie Scheffler, also the betting favourite this week. He should eventually find his form but nothing he did last week suggests he is close. Now that Finau has started closing tournaments, he should be in the mix most weekends when the field is at medium strength. Wise was runner-up to Hovland in ’21 and was sixth last week at the CJ Cup. Hoge was T13 last week, finished just behind Wise in ’21, and has put up a string of solid finishes including a 10th place at the Tour Championship.

Longer shots to consider – Harris English 70/1

English hasn’t played particularly well lately, but he isn’t missing cuts and had consecutive top fives in ’21 and ’20 at this event.

Who will win? – Tom Hoge 30/1

His recent play against some talented fields and his top 3 at the ’21 event will have him in a confident mood crossing the border.